Wednesday, March 4, 2015

Morning Update for Wednesday, March 4th

Daily S&P Outlook

Prior Day Market Sentiment: Bearish
Overnight Inventory Change: Net short
Inside Day/Outside Day: Inside
Location of price relative to market profile: Below value area
Notable overnight futures markets changes:
Up:Natural Gas (NG), Crude Oil (CL), Dollar (DX)
Down: Euro (6E), Corn (ZC), Soybeans (ZS)



Projected ES price action for the day: The trading activity in the S&P can be likened to a rubber band.  When prices are trading horizontally in a range, momentum is being built for the next move higher/low.  It is similar to stretching one side of a rubber band before shooting it.  The longer the market trades in a range, the more tension that is generated for when the move eventually happens, causing a springboard effect.  
There has been some selling in the premarket as the S&P continues to trade in the high volume node from 2100-2115.  Prices are testing the low of the range and could lead to further selling if the support level is cleared.  Intraday tone is neutral/bearish.
 
News for the day:

8:15a: ADP Employment Report
10:00a: ISM Non-Mfg Index
10:30a: Petroleum Status Report
2:00p: Beige Book

*Red highlight means the news is a market moving event;
yellow highlight means the news merits attention

S&P Daily Trend:Bullish



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